Re: A Gold Mine
Posted by The NR Mole on April 20, 2004 at 15:13:20:
In Reply to: Re: A Gold Mine posted by Dead Burro Schmidt on April 20, 2004 at 14:17:30:
There are multiple ways to look at this problem.
First is - if Possum wanted you to find the right shaft he would have (hopefully) said "correct you win" upon your first choice.
Otherwise why would he say - one shaft you did not pick contains a dead donkey?
Of course of the two left, you may have chosen the one of the two with a dead burro and he wants you to re-guess to win...
Anyway, either way you originally had a 33% chance of winning, with one shaft revealed you have a 50% chance of winning -unfortunately you do not know if Possum wants you to win or not - there is the dilemma.